Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 9.209532 10.745339 12.424107 14.390853 16.627066 19.085706 21.988528
2026-01-18 6.639023 8.719513 11.231482 14.465486 18.493949 23.320113 29.510056
2026-01-25 4.966843 7.186088 10.089264 14.115438 19.496113 26.373566 35.752048
2026-02-01 3.867041 6.083248 9.188029 13.770955 20.261119 29.003715 41.523698
2026-02-08 3.022182 5.134592 8.284268 13.200535 20.527734 30.858654 46.288458
2026-02-15 2.423017 4.421627 7.577302 12.758578 20.841451 32.706116 51.089318
2026-02-22 2.123303 4.123306 7.441000 13.127985 22.346952 36.340310 58.688050
2026-03-01 1.883435 3.877622 7.341397 13.519063 23.890100 40.115823 66.741345
2026-03-08 1.559559 3.417425 6.805325 13.103694 24.067502 41.761668 71.610425
2026-03-15 1.312167 3.053260 6.379133 12.809174 24.387585 43.618921 76.895792
2026-03-22 1.219763 2.981756 6.477352 13.452548 26.357351 48.286856 87.001016
2026-03-29 1.115345 2.865022 6.469692 13.890875 27.990414 52.489373 96.588509
2026-04-05 0.969580 2.643211 6.249644 13.953186 29.050961 55.971179 105.528407
2026-04-12 0.838612 2.431128 6.024362 13.991895 30.102029 59.577059 115.057592
2026-04-19 0.699108 2.164765 5.637317 13.645430 30.372078 61.800236 122.322792
2026-04-26 0.584055 1.931459 5.281690 13.309826 30.613959 63.969114 129.618042
2026-05-03 0.476222 1.687972 4.856549 12.756078 30.339476 65.123932 135.108196
2026-05-10 0.393310 1.492407 4.510606 12.327245 30.267421 66.639245 141.345697
2026-05-17 0.357773 1.432912 4.500998 12.685630 31.919666 71.655028 154.567111
2026-05-24 0.326946 1.380427 4.500768 13.065086 33.650626 76.944258 168.637716
2026-05-31 0.272376 1.230180 4.203893 12.662060 33.570967 78.526251 175.501745
2026-06-07 0.230005 1.109446 3.966886 12.376319 33.725583 80.592986 183.448135
2026-06-14 0.218413 1.102857 4.068055 13.000545 36.091513 87.500415 201.636827